The short version
What this evidence tells us.
Research cut-off: 3 October 2026, with the bounded APLNG extension checked 4 October 2026. All ten packages have a delivered public-source briefing. This completes the additional research pass; it does not establish complete national coverage or resolve every specification in the plan. “Partial” below means a missing connection still prevents the full question being answered, even though selected observations have passed the named checks.
Package specifications and resultA measure can be investigated without yielding the desired national answer.Distribution and place coverageOpen this section to inspect the evidence, sources and limits.Time, source access and gapsLatest publication is not latest observation.Existing evidence reused and kept separateThe existing money-flow dossier supplies the independently published ATO entity original and national fiscal/trade context.
Figures retain their own dates, populations and scope. The complete evidence and original source links remain below.
Evidence and context
Package specifications and result
| Package and public question | Measures investigated and usable evidence | Material unresolved connection | Assessment against full plan |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Household security: can people meet costs and absorb a shock? | Real median disposable income trend; income/wealth shares; age/wealth; household-type cost indexes; financial stress by family; mortgage arrears and borrower buffers | Newest income distribution and liquid buffers across all housing tenures; current detailed wealth distribution | Partial; checked baseline delivered |
| 2 Housing: suitable homes near opportunities? | Rental/mortgage/deposit affordability; tenure by age; completions; overcrowding; homelessness versus service counts; social waitlists; state comparisons; named remote maintenance example | Comparable national dwelling-condition and travel-to-work/services measures; commercial property microdata not reproduced | Partial; checked baseline delivered |
| 3 Public return: what does the public provide and receive? | APLNG ownership/control; construction finance and debt tranches to June 2026; reconciled FY2025/FY2026 cash flows, sales, profits and dividends; FY2025 tax calculation and cash royalties; local procurement and environmental evidence | Complete grants, infrastructure, concessions, individual lender/ultimate shareholder identities, workforce and closure assurance; FY2026 final royalties and the cash-tax reporting difference | Cash trail checked; net public return remains partial |
| 4 Services: who misses essential support? | Healthcare cost barriers; disability assistance; current aged-care access; childcare fees; school-entry development; NSW legal-service activity; violence experience | National unmet legal need, childcare turnaways and school-access barriers; matched preventable-harm pathway | Partial; all seven service domains addressed, different evidence types retained |
| 5 Work/care: who contributes and bears the costs? | Wage prices versus matched quarterly CPI; unemployment/underemployment; casual work; injury/fatality; training outcomes; unpaid work; volunteering; time pressure | Training access among non-participants; longitudinal job-security transitions and simultaneous-care valuation | Partial against full specification; contribution baseline checked |
| 6 First Nations: outcomes, rights and control? | All 17 CTG workbook originals; selected outcomes/legal land-sea/language controls; community-controlled health; documented partnership example | Freshwater entitlements/effective decision power; locally defined priorities and community review | Verified within selected public-baseline scope; governance review not completed |
| 7 Natural capacity: what is depleted and owed? | Water consumption/use/prices; territorial emissions; dated environmental-condition synthesis; project disturbance, reinstatement, emissions, produced water/brine; assurance framework; conditional coastal risk and insurance findings | National and project-specific funded/unfunded cleanup reconciliation; local climate inputs; representative insurance exclusion/non-cover rates | Partial; physical baseline checked |
| 8 Capacity: skills, assets and supply resilience? | Early development; training outcomes; real R&D; capex; infrastructure pipeline; historical mobility; diesel country concentration and stocks | National asset-condition/maintenance inventory; actual supplier substitution/route constraints; medicines not selected | Partial against full specification; selected fuel case verified |
| 9 Power: who shapes terms and decisions? | Supermarket regulator findings on concentration, margins, switching and supplier terms; remote access; SME procurement; political/lobbying disclosure systems | Full sector ownership/workforce map and transaction-level donation/lobbying/decision/audit reconciliation | Partial; no influence or misconduct verdict |
| 10 Connection: support, belonging and civic access? | Support, conditional loneliness, discrimination, trust, life satisfaction by age, volunteering, culture and civic participation | All-population loneliness rate not derived from conditional headline; causal barriers and excluded populations remain uncovered | Verified within selected survey-baseline scope; not all-Australian representation |
A measure can be investigated without yielding the desired national answer. For example, legal-service volume is explicitly insufficient for unmet legal need. The scope has not been silently narrowed by calling a proxy the requested result.
Evidence and context
Distribution and place coverage
| Dimension required by the plan | Evidence available in this pass | Limit |
|---|---|---|
| All eight states/territories | Aged-care table; water household use; labour and capex tables; CTG workbook columns | Not every package has the same date or reliable jurisdiction estimate; no composite ranking |
| Urban/regional/remote | NHSAC capital/regional comparisons; NT maintenance example; ACCC remote-store findings; CTG sources | GSS and other household surveys exclude some remote communities; one named case is not a national regional sample |
| Income/wealth | SIH quintiles and age; real equivalised median; area disadvantage for healthcare | Individual income is not area disadvantage; wealth series dated |
| Age/life stage | GSS, SIH, labour/time-use, housing tenure; historical mobility cohort | Repeated cross-sections are not within-person change; compare generations at like ages |
| Family and housing tenure | GSS family hardship; housing affordability; mortgage evidence | No joined current family × tenure × liquid-buffer table |
| Disability | SDAC assistance and exclusions; patient long-term conditions | Long-term condition is not identical to disability; NDIS participants are not all disabled people |
| Sex/gender | Time Use uses sex categories; GSS uses its published gender categories | Do not relabel source concepts or infer unreported gender categories; non-binary estimates not established here |
| Aboriginal/Torres Strait Islander status | CTG, NACCHO, NHSAC dedicated measures | Identity, Country and community authority must not be inferred from address or name |
| Cultural background/migration | GSS discrimination and cultural participation; CTG language | Language barriers and temporary/irregular migration are not comprehensively measured |
| People missing from private-household surveys | Administrative housing, care, violence and service evidence adds partial context | Homeless people, institutional residents, children and excluded remote populations remain incompletely represented |
Evidence and context
Time, source access and gaps
Latest publication is not latest observation. This pass includes July/August 2026 administrative releases, 2025 social conditions, 2024 diaries/development, 2023–24 water/R&D, 2022 disability, 2021 Census/condition evidence and 2019–20 detailed wealth. Ten-year trends are retained where published, but not fabricated across redesigns. Future climate exposure, expected investment and financing authorisations remain scenarios/commitments rather than realised outcomes.
| Dependency | Attempt and result | Useful alternative / remaining work |
|---|---|---|
| HILDA 2026 report and index | Direct public requests returned 403; report web retrieval could not provide the full large PDF | ABS-published HILDA income series and GSS hardship used with dates; obtain report from an official accessible mirror or normal public download to update income distribution |
| Origin FY2025/FY2026 result landing pages | Direct routes returned 404 | APLNG primary tax/environment reports supply matched entity facts; no claim the inaccessible pages were read |
| AEDC full report | Direct PDF request returned 403 | Official Education Department result summary retrieved; CTG early-development workbook archived; full methodological source remains important for granular adoption |
| Queensland assurance annual report | Landing page retrieved; linked PDF returned an unsupported redirect/result; web reader also failed | Current Treasury scheme framework retrieved; resolve public original before quoting aggregate funding or projecting project exposure |
| NT Healthy Homes | Direct archive denied; web reader successfully inspected dated program update | Short paraphrased record with public URL; no SHA-256 of the producer's original claimed |
| National legal unmet need, childcare non-use and travel access | Collected sources measure service use/fees/outcomes, not all requested barriers | Select a defensible national source and denominator; no statement that no public evidence exists |
| Resource project complete public return | ATO, company, EXIM, industry assistance and assurance sources investigated | Obtain entity-matched grant/infrastructure/support terms, tax concession attribution, current loans and project closure/assurance records; unavailable amounts remain null |
| Institutional influence | AEC release and lobbying scope retrieved; ACCC sector findings checked | Reconcile dated returns/entities with actual decisions and responses; disclosure links are not causal evidence |
Evidence and context
Existing evidence reused and kept separate
The existing money-flow dossier supplies the independently published ATO entity original and national fiscal/trade context. The public-hospital briefing and RoGS library supply prior service evidence and definitions. The parallel WA gas research supplies a distinct place/project account and accountability example; its quantities and obligations are not assigned to APLNG. Their locations and adoption status remain in the canonical workstream register.
No individual-level linkage, interviews, community endorsement, new database loading, site publication or change to the saved cash model is part of this pass. Research completeness, source-check completion and readiness for a particular public page are separate statuses.